Ankara, Turkey David Rosenberg / The Med – The Arab Spring has been tough on Turkey. Its good friend, Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, disappointed it with a violent crackdown on protestors. Relations with Iran have grown chillier, Ankara was forced to do an embarrassing about-face on the Libyan no-fly zone and Egypt’s Islamic leaders warned it against promoting the Turkish brand of Islam and democracy.

Back at home, economic growth is faltering and the country has been subject to withering criticism for allowing the courts to lock up so many journalists. The Kurds have grown restive.

But Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan can take some solace from the fact that in the Arab world his country is as popular as ever. A newly released poll finds that Arabs see Turkey as a champion of regional peace and role model for religion and democracy living side by side.

Conducted among 2,323 people in 16 Arab countries over the last three months of 2011 by the Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation (TESEV), the survey found that 78 percent approved of Turkey and its policies.

“Clearly Turkey is very much admired and so it has a degree of regional leadership and the ability to pay that role,” Jonathan Levack, program officer for foreign policy program at TESEV, told The Media Line. “But it has to be careful because public opinion is volatile and the region is volatile. You can’t easily translate this popularity into political influence.”

The survey comes as the Middle East and North Africa undergo their biggest upheaval in decades. Domestically, the countries that have thrown off autocratic rule are now undergoing a wrenching debate over the role of Islam and democracy while the long-standing dominance of the U.S. is perceived by many as being in retreat, with a host of powers looking to fill the vacuum.

Turkey’s approval rating puts it way ahead of other contender’s for regional leadership, most notably Saudi Arabia (64 percent) and Iran (45 percent), while China – a potentially emerging regional power – achieved a favorable rating among 65 percent of the respondents. The U.S. garnered only a 33 percent approval rating.

Turkey scored highest in countries where the Arab Spring has ended the rule of dictators and politics is in flux. In Libya, Turkey had a 93 percent approval rating even though Ankara was late in joining the no-fly zone campaign that was instrumental in ousting Muammar Al-Qaddafi. Turkey had a 91 percent rating in Tunisia and 86 percent rating in Egypt.

But in Syria, where Erdogan has been at the forefront of efforts to force Al-Assad to step down, Turkey’s approval rating plummeted. From 93 percent in TESEV’s 2010 survey, it fell to 44 percent last year.

Moreover, 61 percent of the Arab world views Turkey as a model for their own countries, compared with 22 percent who said it was not, according to the poll. Among those who approve of Turkey as a model, 32 percent cited its democracy, 25 percent its thriving economy and 23 percent its Muslim identity.

But among those who say they do not admire the Turkish model, its biggest drawback was its insufficient Muslim identity and its ties to the West, which the disapprovers believed to be too close. Turkey is a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, although its efforts to join the European Union have so far failed.

In fact, the Turkish model has started to look a little tarnished. More than 100 journalists are now imprisoned for what human rights groups say are unfounded charges of terrorism. The latest arrests prompted a public tussle between Erdogan and the American author Paul Auster, who announced last month that he would not visit Turkey due to the clampdown on freedom of speech.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund is forecasting just 0.4 percent economic growth for Turkey this year, down from 8.3 percent in 2011.

This was the third annual survey of Arab attitudes TESEV has conducted as Turkey has emerged from decades of regional non-involvement to become an increasingly important political and economic player.

“Throughout the three surveys, we found Turkey was welcomed as an actor in the region by the people of the region…. that favorable option is consistent, or structural. It hasn’t been affected by the Arab Spring or by Turkey’s stance toward Libya,” said Levack.

Turks who participated in a Doha Debates roundtable at Bogazici University in Istanbul last month were less convinced of their country’s model. By a margin of 59 percent to 41 percent they approved a resolution: “This House believes Turkey is a bad model for the new Arab states.”

Ece Temelkuran, a Turkish journalist, told the audience that her country’s experience could not be duplicated in the Arab world. “Turkey has been under a state for modernism and secularism for about 80 years, which has not been experienced anywhere in the Arab world in the same manner,” she said.

But she was also critical of Turkey’s democracy, saying it was responsible for jailing journalists and criticized the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) for substituting military dominance over politics with a new kind of authoritarianism.

Defending the model, Sinan Ulgen, director of the Center for Economic and Foreign Policy Studies (Edam), said Turkey’s political development is a work in progress, which makes it relevant to the Arab world and a more useful mentor than Europe or America.

“The Arab people in terms of their cultural affinity have an association with Turkey. They relate to what’s going on in Turkey,” he told the Doha Debates audience. “They relate to what’s going on in Turkish society. And I think the best way to prove this argument is just to tell you that the wild success of the Turkish soap operas across the Arab world.”

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New York, NY, United States (AHN) – Stocks opened sharply higher Friday after the Labor Department reported the U.S. economy created jobs at the fastest pace in nine months.

Shortly after the opening bell on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 113 points, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 12 points and the NASDAQ jumped 28 points.

Oil was up 64 cents to $97.13, and gold was lower by $7, last trading at $1,752.50 a troy ounce.

The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls jumped by 243,000 in January, the most since April, and far exceeding economists’ expectations of a gain of just 150,000.

The strong jobs reports put the unemployment rate to a near three-year low of 8.3 percent and buoyed investor sentiment.

Market watchers will also be watching the big game Sunday. For the past 36 of 45 Super Bowls, the stock market has gone up after a win by an original National Football League team, one that traces its roots to before the merger with the American Football League, and gone down when the AFL (or newer team) is victorious.

So, Wall Street wants the Giants to win the Super Bowl.

The measure has an 80 percent accuracy rate based on the Dow Jones Industrial Averages’ annual performance.

There is not any science to it, but it is still as reliable as it gets for stock forecasting.

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Los Angeles, CA, United States (AHN) – Take a picture; it lasts longer.

Eastman Kodak, currently in bankruptcy and attempting to shore up its assets and refinance, wants its legendary name off the Hollywood landmark that has been home to the Academy Awards show for the last decade.

With just a few week before the star-studded and celebrated 84th Academy Awards broadcast, Kodak is seeking bankruptcy permission to exit the $75 million, 20-year sponsorship agreement it signed in 2000.

Kodak maintains that the bragging rights to have its name on the iconic Hollywood Theater simply isn’t worth it.

Built for $94 million in the Hollywood & Highland retail and entertainment complex, the Kodak Theater opened in November 2011.

The 3,332 seat theater hosted its first Academy Awards in March 2002, the same year Halle Berry made history when she became the first African-American to win the Best Actress Award.

On Jan. 19, Kodak filed for Chapter 11. It now attempts to close another chapter in its illustrious history as it struggles to stay present in the every changing business picture and ailing economy.

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Singapore, Singapore (AHN) – Singapore and Myanmar on Monday signed a bilateral, economic and trade agreement.

Under the Singapore-Myanmar Technical Cooperation Program pact, Singapore will open itself to foreign investment as well as offer training courses on trade, tourism development and central banking to the Southeast Asian nation.

The agreement was signed during Myanmarese President U Thein Sein’s first visit to Singapore after becoming president last year.

Myanmar had been a secretive military regime in the last decade, but post-2010 elections, situations changed in the country as government released several political prisoners and even legalized the pro-democracy leader Suu Kyi’s National League of Democracy party. This prompted Washington to revive full diplomatic ties with it. Even the EU decided to partly lift sanctions on Myanmar.

Both the U.S. and the EU have promised to further ease sanctions, if they see free and fair parliamentary by-elections in April this year.

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Integrated Regional Information Networks.

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New York, NY, United States (AHN) – Wall Street opened lower Friday after a report showed that the U.S. economy expanded less than forecast..

Just after the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 33 points, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index was flat and the NASDAQ was up by about 6 points.

Weighing on stocks was a report that showed the U.S. economy expanded at 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter, less than the 3 percent that had been projected.

In Europe the Stoxx Europe 600 Index slipped 0.7 percent as investors await word on developments on the region’s sovereign debt crisis. European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said authorities are “very close” to reaching an agreement on private-sector involvement in a Greek debt swap.

Despite those words of optimism, the dismal growth of GDP in the U.S. was keeping investors cautious. The health and growth of the U.S. economy is a very important and leading indicator of economic growth worldwide. As analysts like to say, “when the U.S. sneezes, the world catches a cold.”

In corporate news, Ford fell after reporting numbers that missed estimates. Starbucks shares slipped despite reporting better than expected numbers, and Juniper Networks plunged after the second biggest maker of computer networking equipment forecast sales and profits that missed estimates.

In commodities, oil was unchanged at $$99.60 a barrel, gold rose $4.70 to $1,725 a troy ounce and silver was up a few pennies at $33.63.

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Damascus, Syria David Rosenberg (The Medi – As the Arab League agreed to go to the United Nations Security Council early this week with a resolution calling for Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad to step down, Russia was reportedly doing a major arms deal with the beleaguered regime.

The $550 million agreement to sell 36 Yak-130 combat aircraft will not do anything to tip the balance in favor of the Al-Assad regime, which has been engaged in a 10-month conflict with anti-government opposition. But Russia is almost certainly providing arms Damascus needs to hold back the rebels as well as mounting a diplomatic defense of its friend at the U.N.

In a rare glimpse into the Russia-Syria arms trade, a ship loaded with ammunition from Russia was briefly detained in Cyprus earlier this month before continuing its journey unmolested to the Syrian port of Tartus. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has vowed that Russia will veto any sanctions as “unfair and counterproductive.”

“Syria is an important customer for the Russian military industry and the industry is quite keen to maintain the relationship,” Fyodor Lukyanov, editor-in-chief of the Moscow based foreign policy journal Russia in Global Affairs, told The Media Line. “Syria is one of the few remaining customers in the region and it hosts the only military base – a small one but still a base – that Russia still has outside its own borders.”

As the West – now joined by the Arab League – presses the Syrian president ever harder, Russia has emerged as his most important ally. Iran also backs the Damascus regime, but Tehran itself faces growing diplomatic isolation over its nuclear program and doesn’t wield a Security Council veto. China is opposed to Syrian sanctions, too, but analysts say it is likely to follow whatever line Moscow adopts.

Russia’s warm ties with Syria, and more exactly the Al-Assad family regime that has ruled the country four decades, starts with arms sales but it goes much deeper.

In the final two decades of the Cold War era, when the Soviet Union was a superpower competing for global influence with the U.S., Syria was its staunchest ally in the Middle East. Bashar Al-Assad’s father and predecessor Hafez armed his troops with Soviet weapons and advanced Moscow’s interests in the region.

With the collapse of communism and with Syria’s deteriorating economy, the relationship is not what it once was. But Russia maintains a naval base at Tartus and the two governments share a distrust of the West and its motives.

Indeed, the view from Moscow of what is happening in Syria is very different than the one in Washington or Brussels. Where the West sees events in Syria as a popular uprising against a repressive regime, Russia shares Damascus’ take, which sees the rebellion as conspiracy by the Gulf countries to bring down an ally of their foe Iran.

“Saudi Arabia, Qatar and others see this as an opportunity, as a chance to push back Iranian influence,” Lukyanov said. “From Russia’s point of view, it’s part of a geopolitical struggle between Iran and Saudi Arabia, where Syria is just a card.”

For policymakers in Moscow, the situation in Syria looks remarkably similar to the one in Libya last year, where another long-time friend, Muamar Al-Qaddafi, faced what was seen in the West as a popular rebellion against autocracy. Russia reluctantly agreed not to veto a U.N. decision to impose a no-fly zone over the country.

The resolution, as Russia’s leaders understood it, was to prevent Al-Qaddafi from killing civilians with aerial firepower. But the NATO forces that largely enforced the decision, Russians say, used it to level the playing field in the Libyan civil war to Al-Qaddafi’s disadvantage. Moscow lost a friend and customer for its arms and is now out of favor with the successor National Transitional Council.

Zvi Magen, a former Israeli ambassador to Russia, said Russia’s Syria policy is driven by memories of its Cold War rivalry with the U.S.

“There’s an element of business in the arms deals, but it’s mainly a political move to show the flag and to show support for Syria. It’s mainly a function of Russian relations with America than with the Syrian regime,” Magen told The Media Line.

For that reason – and because Moscow realizes that Al-Assad’s days are numbered – it may be prepared to make a deal with the U.S. over Syria, he added.

Nevertheless, analysts agree that the importance of the arms trade as a factor in Moscow’s calculations should not be overlooked. In an economy with few other industrial exports, Russia’s military industry is an important earner of foreign exchange and a powerful domestic political force.

The Voice of Russia radio’s website said in December without citing a source that Russian arms exports reached $11 billion last year, a three-fold increase from 2000. While the country’s biggest customers are India and China, the Middle East had been a growing market until the Arab Spring eliminated Al-Qaddafi and sanctions on Iran removed another customer. Syria alone, according to some estimates, accounted for 7 percent of all Russian arms sales in 2010.

A U.S. government study in 2009 estimated Russia’s share of the Middle East arms market grew to more than 15 percent in the 2005-2008 period, five percentage points more than in 2001-2004 as it offered more creative financing and payment options, counter-trade, offsets, debt-swapping, and, in some cases, licensing production locally.

Russia’s Interfax news agency reported in early December that Russia delivered $300 million of Yakhont anti-ship cruise missiles to Syria.

With numbers like that, it is no wonder that Sergey Chemezov, the head of the state arms export company Rosoboronexport, made clear he had no intention of halting business with Syria.

“There are no sanctions whatsoever regarding Syria,” he told Interfax on Wednesday. “If international sanctions are imposed by the U.N. Security Council, everything will change. And if there are no sanctions, why should we refuse to cooperate with this country? This is business after all.”

Nevertheless, Magen said, Russia is careful not to sell Damascus weapons like S-300 surface-to-air missiles that could alter the regional balance of power.

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Washington, DC, United States (KaiserHealth) – In his State of the Union speech, President Barack Obama made just one explicit mention of the 2010 health law. Here is a transcript of the few parts of his speech that mentioned health care issues:

Innovation also demands basic research. Today, the discoveries taking place in our federally-financed labs and universities could lead to new treatments that kill cancer cells but leave healthy ones untouched. …

I will not go back to the days when health insurance companies had unchecked power to cancel your policy, deny your coverage, or charge women differently than men. …

Do we want to keep these tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans? Or do we want to keep our investments in everything else – like education and medical research; a strong military and care for our veterans? Because if we’re serious about paying down our debt, we can’t do both.

The American people know what the right choice is. So do I. As I told the Speaker this summer, I’m prepared to make more reforms that rein in the long term costs of Medicare and Medicaid, and strengthen Social Security, so long as those programs remain a guarantee of security for seniors. …

I recognize that people watching tonight have differing views about taxes and debt; energy and health care. But no matter what party they belong to, I bet most Americans are thinking the same thing right about now: Nothing will get done this year, or next year, or maybe even the year after that, because Washington is broken. …

I’m a Democrat. But I believe what Republican Abraham Lincoln believed: That government should do for people only what they cannot do better by themselves, and no more. That’s … That’s why we’re getting rid of regulations that don’t work. That’s why our health care law relies on a reformed private market, not a government program. …

Above all, our freedom endures because of the men and women in uniform who defend it. As they come home, we must serve them as well as they served us. That includes giving them the care and benefits they have earned – which is why we’ve increased annual VA spending every year I’ve been president.

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Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels delivered the Republican response. Here are excerpts of his remarks:

[We] must unite to save the safety net. Medicare and Social Security have served us well, and that must continue. But after half and three quarters of a century respectively, it’s not surprising that they need some repairs. We can preserve them unchanged and untouched for those now in or near retirement, but we must fashion a new, affordable safety net so future Americans are protected, too.

Decades ago, for instance, we could afford to send millionaires pension checks and pay medical bills for even the wealthiest among us. Now, we can’t, so the dollars we have should be devoted to those who need them most.

The mortal enemies of Social Security and Medicare are those who, in contempt of the plain arithmetic, continue to mislead Americans that we should change nothing. Listening to them much longer will mean that these proud programs implode, and take the American economy with them. …

It’s not fair and it’s not true for the President to attack Republicans in Congress as obstacles on these questions. They and they alone have passed bills to reduce borrowing, reform entitlements, and encourage new job creation, only to be shot down time and time again by the President and his Democratic Senate allies.

This year, it falls to Republicans to level with our fellow citizens about this reality: if we fail to act to grow the private sector and save the safety net, nothing else will matter much. …

In word and deed, the President and his allies tell us that we just cannot handle ourselves in this complex, perilous world without their benevolent protection. Left to ourselves, we might pick the wrong health insurance, the wrong mortgage, the wrong school for our kids; why, unless they stop us, we might pick the wrong light bulb!

– Provided by Kaiser Health News.

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United Arab Emirates David Rosenberg (The Medi – Calling the United Arab Emirates (UAE) the world’s “least friendly” place for expatriates-well, those are fighting words. Certainly, they are in a place where non-citizens make up close to 90 percent of the population and are responsible for everything from running the national airline to cleaning up at construction sites.

But a fight is what Forbes magazine and one of its contributing writers, Beth Greenfield, got when they ran a piece putting the Gulf confederation of seven mini-states at the bottom of a list using criteria that hone in on social factors – the ability to befriend natives, fitting into local culture, learning the language and integrating into the community.

The article sparked a furious reaction, a dedicated Twitter hashtag #UAEFriendly and finally, according to local media spin, Forbes “took back” its words and conceded that Greenfield’s list was “non-scientific.” The American magazine also helped smooth ruffled feathers in a posting by Dan Bigman, its managing editor for business news, who called the UAE an “expat paradise.”

Giving advice to the businesspeople, diplomats and others living abroad is a big and important business. What with varying costs of living, standards of schools and housing, and the risk that today’s sleepy posting erupts into revolutionary cauldron, employees and employers alike need a way to compare and decide how much hardship pay one location deserves over another.

One of those measures is published by the expatriate financial-services unit of the British-based bank HSBC, and that was the starting-off point for the controversy.

The Expat Explorer Survey for 2011 survey ranks 31 countries for expat conditions based on a survey of 3,385 people in 100 countries taken last May-July (only 31 countries had enough respondents to make the sampling valid, HSBC says).

Weighing all the criteria HSBC uses – a long list of factors ranging from “nicer/bigger property” to children “spending less time playing video games” – the UAE ranked a respectable third. Last November, Mercer, a British firm that advises companies on compensation for their employees living abroad, ranked Dubai 74 and Abu Dhabi 78.

But Greenfield, citing the views of expat “coach” Heather Markel, isolated four factors from the HSBC survey she said make a place “friendly” for foreigners living and working there.

Suddenly, the UAE plummeted to the bottom of the list, along with much of the rest of the Gulf and India. Greenfield did not dwell much on the UAE’s misfortune: She made only two references to it and one of them refers to its attractions for expats as a place where people enjoy high incomes and good career prospects. Nevertheless, it didn’t take long to elicit a spirited defense of the UAE.

“Dear Forbes, Did you ever visited UAE?” asked AhmadTheFrozen. “We don’t realize how realize how friendly UAE is until we visit Europe,” commented Talib Al Hashimi. “I’ve developed a fantastic social circle and career in UAE. Who did Forbes survey? Not me!” said Brendan Ryan.

Tamim Al Kuttab asked: “If the UAE is unfriendly to expats — as Forbes says — then why are they staging their Global CEO Conference in Dubai in October?” (Good question: The Forbes Foundation, which publishes the magazine, is holding its 12th annual Global CEO Conference in the UAE’s Dubai next October.)

Annabel Kantaria. a journalist based in Dubai, wrote in a blog post for Britain’s Telegraph newspaper that if foreigners find the Emirates an unfriendly place, they have only themselves to blame.

“Is it the fault of the host country if the expats don’t have success learning the local language? Is it the fault of the host country if the expats fail to integrate themselves into the community, don’t manage to befriend locals or don’t find it easy to fit in?” she wrote. “Does that make the host country ‘unfriendly’? Or does it make the expat ‘inadaptable’? On whom does the onus lie?”

Greenfield herself did not respond at length to the complaints on the Forbes website, but a spokesman for the magazine speaking to The National downplayed the affair. “Given the UAE’s reputation as a crossroads for world commerce and culture, we were surprised by the results of HSBC’s survey,” an unnamed spokesman said in the local English-language daily. “The data is [sic], of course, non-scientific and intended only to spur discussion.”

Bigman, without making any apology, called the UAE – as well as Singapore and Hong Kong, two other tiny expat-heavy places – an “expat paradise,” friendlier to resident foreigners than his home country of America.

In fact, Khalid Al-Ameri, an Emirati, pointed out in an op-ed in The National the natives may not seem friendly because it is so hard to find one among the masses of foreigners.

Of the 8.26 million people living in the UAE in 2012, 7.31 million of them are expats, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. When the economy was booming before 2008, the expat population was even bigger, but even today, just one in 12 people are Emiratis and in expat-rich places like Dubai the ratio is even bigger.

“Because of the skewed demographics (about 10 percent of the population is Emirati), getting to know the ‘locals’ can be a tough task for any new expatriate. And in any country within a matter of days, an expatriate will find his or her countrymen, the familiar cuisine and hangout spot,” he wrote. “It is very easy for an expatriate to quickly fall into a comfort zone and go quite a while without actually interacting with an Emirati on a personal level.”

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DC, Washington, United States (AHN) – The U.S. Conference of Mayors wrapped up its winter meeting Friday in Washington, D.C., with Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel stepping into controversies on same sex marriage and education.

Emanuel joined about 80 other mayors from across the nation in endorsing laws to give legal recognition to same sex marriage, along with the tax breaks and other benefits spouses can share.

The mayors signed on to a statement that said, “Our cities derive great strength from their diversity and gay and lesbian families are a crucial part. Studies have shown what we know through our hands-on experience that cities that celebrate and cultivate diversity are the places where creativity and ideas thrive.”

Emanuel supported the Illinois Legislature’s effort last year to legalize civil unions for same-sex couples.

He said New York did “a good thing” last June when state lawmakers legalized gay marriage.

In separate comments Friday, Emanuel discussed his plan to turn Chicago’s community colleges into training institutions for the city’s employers.

Currently, Chicago’s City Colleges have a graduation rate of about 7 percent and job prospects for graduates that are “not as high,” Emanuel said.

His plan calls for each of the city’s seven community colleges to operate with specialties, such as health care, transportation, hospitality and manufacturing.

In addition, employers would be brought in to develop curricula that would train the students to become their employees.

“I want it to have economic value” to attend college, Emanuel said at the downtown Washington hotel where about 250 mayors were meeting.

Turning colleges into job training institutions is controversial among some academics, who say a well-rounded education requires liberal arts courses that include literature, history and the arts.

Nevertheless, job creation and recovery from the economic disaster of the Great Recession were dominant themes throughout the meeting this week.

The U.S. Conference of Mayors released a report that said the nation’s metropolitan areas will struggle for five more years to regain jobs lost during the recession that started in September 2008.

“The recovery is very uneven across U.S. regions, with the southeastern and southwestern metro [areas that] were the most affected by the housing bubble looking ahead to years of recovery,” the report says.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls will grow about 1.3 percent this year, which is unlikely to reduce the unemployment rate below 8 percent, according to a report by IHS Global Insight.

The report predicts the nation will regain nearly half the jobs lost during the Great Recession by the end of 2012.

The mayors used the economic report to try to prod Congress to approve legislation that would create more jobs.

Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, president of the Conference of Mayors, said “Congress has jumped ship” in its obligation to stimulate the economy and employment.

However, Villaraigosa acknowledged cities will have a hard time squeezing money out of Congress at a time the federal government is trying to reduce its deficit by cutting spending.

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